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TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1598
0900Z SAT OCT 17 1998
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO LOS MOCHIS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 108.0W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 108.0W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.4N 108.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 108.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 107.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 28.0N 105.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
AVILA
 
 
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